Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Andrew Alvarez
Washington Nationals · Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals · confirmed starter · Pitcher
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Velo
86.8
Spin
2514
Whiff%
26.4%
SwStr%
11.7%
Chase%
29.2%
xERA
0.00
xwOBA-a
0.453
Barrel%-a
19.4%
HardHit%-a
48%
1st-Pitch K%
89%
Tonight's Park · Nationals Park
Neutral parkHR
-3%
Hits
+4%
2B
-3%
3B
-8%
K
-11%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather · scattered clouds
Neutral conditionsHR weather
+3%
Temp
80°
Wind
3 cross
Rain
0%
HR/Temp/Wind colored for the pitcher · Rain = game-delay risk
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast refreshed daily.