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Home Run Hotsheet
Top 10 to Go Yard
2,500-sim model · best price across books · live line moves
MondayAugust 31
1
PROJ
vs Bradish · 0.8 HR/9🔥L10 3 HRPARK +8%WIND OUT80°
Matchup
80
Sim HR%
28%
Best Odds
+360
ProphetX
ProphetX▼ steam
Edge
+5.9%
2
PROJ
vs Pfaadt · 0.6 HR/9🔥L10 3 HRDOME · 72°
Matchup
60
Sim HR%
27%
Best Odds
+335ProphetX
ProphetX— flat
Edge
+3.8%
3
PROJ
vs Ureña · 0.4 HR/9L10 2 HRPARK +12%WIND OUT78°
Matchup
78
Sim HR%
26%
Best Odds
+488
Novig
Novig— flat
Edge
+9.3%
4
FINAL
vs King · 1.2 HR/9🔥L10 4 HRPARK +9%WIND IN91°
Matchup
60
Sim HR%
24%
Best Odds
+485ProphetX
ProphetX▼ steam
Edge
+7.2%
5
PROJ
vs Lambert · 0.5 HR/9L10 0 HRPARK +3%WIND IN92°
Matchup
75
Sim HR%
24%
Best Odds
+360ProphetX
ProphetX▲ drift
Edge
+2.5%
6
PROJ
vs Gordon · 2.0 HR/9🔥L10 3 HRPARK +8%WIND OUT80°
Matchup
91
Sim HR%
24%
Best Odds
+250ProphetX
ProphetX— flat
Edge
-4.5%
7
PROJ
vs Kay · 1.2 HR/9L10 1 HRPARK +3%WIND IN92°
Matchup
77
Sim HR%
24%
Best Odds
+335ProphetX
ProphetX— flat
Edge
+0.7%
8
PROJ
vs Tampa Bay RaysL10 1 HRDOME · 72°
Matchup
—
Sim HR%
22%
Best Odds
+380ProphetX
ProphetX▼ steam
Edge
+1.6%
9
PROJ
vs Gordon · 2.0 HR/9L10 1 HRPARK +8%WIND OUT80°
Matchup
80
Sim HR%
22%
Best Odds
+326Novig
Novig— flat
Edge
-1.1%
10
PROJ
vs Harrison · 2.0 HR/9🔥L10 7 HRPARK +15%WIND OUT84°
Matchup
84
Sim HR%
22%
Best Odds
+320ProphetX
ProphetX— flat
Edge
-1.6%
MONGOOSE BETSmongoosebets.com · 2,500 sims / game · @MongooseBets
GREEN helps the HR · RED works against it · dim = neutral
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