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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Braden Shewmake

Houston Astros · Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros

MG Score
43
D

Tonight's Matchup

43
Matchup
Tough matchup
vs Bubba Chandler · RHP · 94.8 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
4.70
WHIP
1.57
K%
24%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
87.9
90.3
Barrel%
5.3%
17.6%
Hard Hit%
37%
41%
xwOBA
.323
.432
xSLG
.454
.641
Whiff%
20%
18%
Chase%
54%
36%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Bubba Chandler.

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
87.9
Barrel%
5.3%
Hard Hit%
37%
Sweet Spot%
30%
xwOBA
0.323
xSLG
0.454

Recent Games

Last 5
20%
1/5 games
Last 10
20%
2/10 games
Last 20
50%
10/20 games
Last 30
48%
13/27 games
AVG
.091
OBP
.167
SLG
.136
OPS
.303
HR
0
RBI
1
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/30Milwaukee Brewers2000010
5/29Milwaukee Brewers2000100
5/28Texas Rangers4000010
5/27Texas Rangers2001000
5/26Texas Rangers3100000
5/25Texas Rangers1100000
5/24Chicago Cubs0000000
5/23Chicago Cubs4000000
5/22Chicago Cubs1000100
5/19Minnesota Twins3000020

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Braden Shewmake
Houston Astros · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
89.1 mph
Avg LA
13.0°
Hard-hit %
40%
Barrel %
14%
Outcomes (42 balls)
Home Run
3
Triple
0
Double
3
Single
10
Out
26
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.