Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Braden Shewmake
Houston Astros · Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros
MG Score
43
D
Tonight's Matchup
43
Matchup
Tough matchup
vs Bubba Chandler · RHP · 94.8 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
4.70
WHIP
1.57
K%
24%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
87.9
90.3
Barrel%
5.3%
17.6%
Hard Hit%
37%
41%
xwOBA
.323
.432
xSLG
.454
.641
Whiff%
20%
18%
Chase%
54%
36%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Bubba Chandler.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
87.9
Barrel%
5.3%
Hard Hit%
37%
Sweet Spot%
30%
xwOBA
0.323
xSLG
0.454
Recent Games
Last 5
20%
1/5 games
Last 10
20%
2/10 games
Last 20
50%
10/20 games
Last 30
48%
13/27 games
AVG
.091
OBP
.167
SLG
.136
OPS
.303
HR
0
RBI
1
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/30 | Milwaukee Brewers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Milwaukee Brewers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Texas Rangers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Texas Rangers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Texas Rangers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Texas Rangers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Chicago Cubs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Chicago Cubs | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Chicago Cubs | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/19 | Minnesota Twins | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Braden Shewmake
Houston Astros · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
89.1 mph
Avg LA
13.0°
Hard-hit %
40%
Barrel %
14%
Outcomes (42 balls)
Home Run
3Triple
0Double
3Single
10Out
26Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.

