Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Brandon Eisert
Chicago White Sox · Atlanta Braves vs Chicago White Sox · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 0.00 · WHIP 0.38 · K 33% · 2 starts
BRANDON EISERT
Over K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line
BRANDON
EISERT
Over K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam39%90 mph
Slider29%84 mph
Changeup23%85 mph
Matchup
VS ATL LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.38
K%
33%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 28% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 13.3% | 11% |
| Chase% | 29% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .290 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 7% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 39% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
1.5
K/GM
1.3
IP/GM
0.00
ERA
0.38
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
33% season K rate
Contact Suppression
7% barrel · 39% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 2 starts
0 of 2 starts over
Last 5: 0.00 ERA · 33% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs ATL—
Tonight's Park
HR
-5%
Hits
-2%
2B
-9%
3B
-28%
K
+1%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
75°
Wind
17 221°
Rain
100%
HR Adj
+7%
K Adj
-3%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 6:07 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.