Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Bryce Johnson
San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies
MG Score
50
D
Tonight's Park · Citizens Bank Park
Big HR parkHR
+12%
Hits
-1%
2B
-4%
3B
+1%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather · clear sky
Wind helping HRHR weather
+8%
Temp
83°
Wind
Calm
Rain
0%
HR/Temp/Wind colored for the hitter · Rain = game-delay risk
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
61.3
Barrel%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
0%
Sweet Spot%
50%
xwOBA
0.256
xSLG
0.298
Recent Games
Last 5
20%
1/5 games
Last 10
10%
1/10 games
Last 20
20%
4/20 games
Last 30
23%
7/30 games
AVG
.083
OBP
.214
SLG
.083
OPS
.298
HR
0
RBI
0
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/26 | Philadelphia Phillies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Athletics | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Athletics | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/15 | Seattle Mariners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/14 | Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/13 | Milwaukee Brewers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/5 | San Francisco Giants | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/3 | Chicago White Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/1 | Chicago White Sox | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Bryce Johnson
San Diego Padres · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
75.3 mph
Avg LA
16.4°
Hard-hit %
13%
Barrel %
0%
Outcomes (16 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
0Double
2Single
3Out
11Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Advanced Statcast
Data Period: 5/14/2026 - 5/22/2026
Games: 3
Statcast Performance Profile
Advanced metrics from Statcast data (last 10 days)
Overall Grade
FPerformance Score
23Exit Velo
59.5 mph
Average exit velocity off the bat
Hard Hit%
0.0%
Percentage of balls hit 95+ mph
Chase%
35.0%
Percentage of swings at pitches outside the zone
xwOBA
0.250
Expected weighted on-base average
Sweet Spot%
40.0%
Percentage of balls hit at ideal launch angle
Performance Insights
Strengths: Sweet Spot%
Areas for Improvement: Exit Velo, Hard Hit%
How to Read This Chart
Excellent (75-100)
Good (60-74)
Average (45-59)
Below Average (0-44)
The larger the shape, the better the overall performance. Each point represents a different advanced metric.
Additional Metrics
Max Exit Velo
79.2 mph
Launch Angle
16.4°
xBA
0.274
xSLG
0.290
Batted Ball Profile
Ground Ball%
60.0%
Fly Ball%
20.0%
Line Drive%
N/A
Pop Up%
20.0%
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.