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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Buddy Kennedy

San Francisco Giants · San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers · in lineup

Tonight's Park · American Family Field

HR-friendly
HR
+8%
Hits
-6%
2B
-17%
3B
-9%
K
+11%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)

Tonight's Weather · Dome

Dome · neutral
HR weather
0%
Temp
72°
Wind
Dome
Rain
0%
HR/Temp/Wind colored for the hitter · Rain = game-delay risk

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
73.2
Barrel%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
0%
Sweet Spot%
100%
xwOBA
0.550
xSLG
0.650

Recent Games

Last 5
0%
0/5 games
Last 10
20%
2/10 games
Last 20
14%
2/14 games
Last 30
14%
2/14 games
AVG
.087
OBP
.125
SLG
.130
OPS
.255
HR
0
RBI
1
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
6/1Milwaukee Brewers1000000
8/23San Diego Padres3000010
8/22San Diego Padres1000000
8/21Colorado Rockies0000000
8/20Colorado Rockies4000000
8/19Colorado Rockies2101010
8/18Colorado Rockies4000010
8/17San Diego Padres3000020
8/9Los Angeles Dodgers3100010
8/6Colorado Rockies2000100

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Buddy Kennedy
San Francisco Giants · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
73.2 mph
Avg LA
30.0°
Hard-hit %
0%
Barrel %
0%
Outcomes (1 balls)
Home Run
0
Triple
0
Double
0
Single
0
Out
1
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Advanced Statcast

Data Period: 6/1/2026 - 6/1/2026
Games: 1

Statcast Performance Profile

Advanced metrics from Statcast data (last 10 days)

Overall Grade
D+
Performance Score
40
Exit VeloHard Hit%Chase%xwOBASweet Spot%
Exit Velo
73.2 mph

Average exit velocity off the bat

Hard Hit%
0.0%

Percentage of balls hit 95+ mph

Chase%
50.0%

Percentage of swings at pitches outside the zone

xwOBA
0.550

Expected weighted on-base average

Sweet Spot%
100.0%

Percentage of balls hit at ideal launch angle

Performance Insights

Strengths: xwOBA, Sweet Spot%

Areas for Improvement: Exit Velo, Hard Hit%

How to Read This Chart
Excellent (75-100)
Good (60-74)
Average (45-59)
Below Average (0-44)

The larger the shape, the better the overall performance. Each point represents a different advanced metric.

Additional Metrics

Max Exit Velo
73.2 mph
Launch Angle
30.0°
xBA
0.611
xSLG
0.650

Batted Ball Profile

Ground Ball%
N/A
Fly Ball%
100.0%
Line Drive%
N/A
Pop Up%
N/A

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.