Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Byron Buxton
Minnesota Twins · Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins
MG Score
48
D
Tonight's Matchup
vs Davis Martin · RHP · 90.6 mph avg
ERA
1.95
WHIP
0.84
K%
32%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
92.5
85.6
Barrel%
20.0%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
47%
27%
xwOBA
.458
.202
xSLG
.736
.260
Whiff%
31%
33%
Chase%
35%
43%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Davis Martin: 11 PA · Low sample
AB
10
AVG
.100
OPS
.482
HR
0
H
1
K
5
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
92.5
Barrel%
20.0%
Hard Hit%
47%
Sweet Spot%
29%
xwOBA
0.458
xSLG
0.736
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
70%
7/10 games
Last 20
70%
14/20 games
Last 30
70%
14/20 games
AVG
.231
OBP
.302
SLG
.410
OPS
.713
HR
2
RBI
4
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Chicago White Sox | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 5/30 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Chicago White Sox | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Chicago White Sox | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Chicago White Sox | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Chicago White Sox | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Boston Red Sox | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Boston Red Sox | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Houston Astros | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Byron Buxton
Minnesota Twins · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
89.6 mph
Avg LA
21.4°
Hard-hit %
47%
Barrel %
20%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
15Triple
0Double
6Single
21Out
58Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.