Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Casey Schmitt
San Francisco Giants · San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers
MG Score
65
C+
Tonight's Matchup
47
Matchup
Neutral matchup
vs Kyle Harrison · LHP · 90.3 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
0.96
WHIP
1.00
K%
28%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
89.9
89.5
Barrel%
17.5%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
45%
31%
xwOBA
.423
.320
xSLG
.657
.408
Whiff%
23%
21%
Chase%
39%
36%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Kyle Harrison.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
89.9
Barrel%
17.5%
Hard Hit%
45%
Sweet Spot%
34%
xwOBA
0.423
xSLG
0.657
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
70%
7/10 games
Last 20
65%
13/20 games
Last 30
65%
15/23 games
AVG
.273
OBP
.289
SLG
.568
OPS
.857
HR
3
RBI
11
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Milwaukee Brewers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Colorado Rockies | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 5/30 | Colorado Rockies | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Colorado Rockies | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/26 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Chicago White Sox | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Chicago White Sox | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Chicago White Sox | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Casey Schmitt
San Francisco Giants · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
89.4 mph
Avg LA
21.6°
Hard-hit %
48%
Barrel %
16%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
9Triple
1Double
5Single
24Out
61Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.