CIONEL PÉREZ

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

CIONEL

PÉREZ

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Slurve39%86 mph

Sinker38%97 mph

4-Seam18%97 mph

Matchup

VS PHI LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

46

Average

projected lineup

VS

ERA

4.35

WHIP

1.16

K%

21%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	22%	25%
SwStr%	10.7%	11%
Chase%	33%	28%
xwOBA-a	.392	.315
Barrel%-a	12%	8%
HardHit%-a	40%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

1.4

K/GM

1.6

IP/GM

4.50

ERA

1.25

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

21% season K rate

Contact Suppression

12% barrel · 40% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Neutral park · air suppressing HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 7 starts

0 of 7 starts over

Last 5: 4.50 ERA · 21% K

2

2

3

1

1

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs PHI—

Tonight's Park

HR

+3%

Hits

-9%

2B

-11%

3B

-25%

K

+4%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

78°

Wind

5 129°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

-0%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 10:17 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.