Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Colt Emerson
Seattle Mariners · New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners
MG Score
63
C+
Tonight's Matchup
40
Matchup
Tough matchup
vs Jonah Tong · 91.3 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters · limited data
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
88.2
88.6
Barrel%
6.7%
14.3%
Hard Hit%
37%
43%
xwOBA
.330
.363
xSLG
.480
.606
Whiff%
24%
18%
Chase%
25%
23%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Jonah Tong.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
88.2
Barrel%
6.7%
Hard Hit%
37%
Sweet Spot%
43%
xwOBA
0.330
xSLG
0.480
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
50%
7/14 games
Last 30
50%
7/14 games
AVG
.303
OBP
.361
SLG
.636
OPS
.997
HR
2
RBI
5
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | New York Mets | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Athletics | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Athletics | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Athletics | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Kansas City Royals | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Kansas City Royals | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Kansas City Royals | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Colt Emerson
Seattle Mariners · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
87.7 mph
Avg LA
14.2°
Hard-hit %
38%
Barrel %
31%
Outcomes (13 balls)
Home Run
1Triple
0Double
3Single
2Out
7Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.