Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Daniel Susac
San Francisco Giants · San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers
MG Score
42
D
Tonight's Matchup
16
Matchup
Avoid
vs Kyle Harrison · LHP · 90.3 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
0.96
WHIP
1.00
K%
28%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
86.0
89.5
Barrel%
16.0%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
36%
31%
xwOBA
.316
.320
xSLG
.473
.408
Whiff%
24%
21%
Chase%
39%
36%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Kyle Harrison.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
86.0
Barrel%
16.0%
Hard Hit%
36%
Sweet Spot%
36%
xwOBA
0.316
xSLG
0.473
Recent Games
Last 5
20%
1/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
45%
9/20 games
Last 30
45%
10/22 games
AVG
.194
OBP
.286
SLG
.258
OPS
.544
HR
0
RBI
6
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Milwaukee Brewers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Colorado Rockies | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Colorado Rockies | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Chicago White Sox | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Chicago White Sox | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/19 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/17 | Athletics | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Daniel Susac
San Francisco Giants · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
87.6 mph
Avg LA
16.6°
Hard-hit %
30%
Barrel %
12%
Outcomes (33 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
1Double
3Single
9Out
20Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.