Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Ezequiel Duran
Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals
MG Score
53
C-
Tonight's Matchup
51
Matchup
Neutral matchup
vs Dustin May · RHP · 91.3 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
3.77
WHIP
1.03
K%
23%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
89.2
85.2
Barrel%
14.7%
14.3%
Hard Hit%
40%
43%
xwOBA
.420
.286
xSLG
.592
.415
Whiff%
26%
33%
Chase%
39%
31%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Dustin May.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
89.2
Barrel%
14.7%
Hard Hit%
40%
Sweet Spot%
41%
xwOBA
0.420
xSLG
0.592
Recent Games
Last 5
100%
5/5 games
Last 10
70%
7/10 games
Last 20
75%
15/20 games
Last 30
75%
15/20 games
AVG
.353
OBP
.389
SLG
.471
OPS
.859
HR
0
RBI
9
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | St. Louis Cardinals | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Kansas City Royals | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Kansas City Royals | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Kansas City Royals | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Houston Astros | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 5/27 | Houston Astros | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Houston Astros | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Houston Astros | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Los Angeles Angels | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Los Angeles Angels | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Ezequiel Duran
Texas Rangers · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
90.4 mph
Avg LA
11.6°
Hard-hit %
43%
Barrel %
13%
Outcomes (92 balls)
Home Run
3Triple
2Double
9Single
21Out
57Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.