JACK LEITER

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

JACK

LEITER

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam38%97 mph

Slider19%86 mph

Changeup15%90 mph

Curveball10%82 mph

Cutter10%93 mph

Sinker8%95 mph

Matchup

VS MIN LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

VS

ERA

5.79

WHIP

1.45

K%

20%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	19%	25%
SwStr%	9.1%	11%
Chase%	31%	28%
xwOBA-a	.356	.315
Barrel%-a	12%	8%
HardHit%-a	36%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

4.6

K/GM

5.1

IP/GM

6.75

ERA

1.54

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

20% season K rate

Contact Suppression

12% barrel · 36% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Big HR park

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 7 starts

0 of 7 starts over

Last 5: 6.75 ERA · 20% K

6

5

4

10

2

3

4

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs MIN—

Tonight's Park

HR

+15%

Hits

-1%

2B

-4%

3B

-21%

K

0%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

72°

Wind

0

Rain

0%

HR Adj

0%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 3:47 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.