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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Jonah Heim

Athletics · Athletics vs Chicago Cubs

MG Score
52
C-

Tonight's Matchup

vs Jameson Taillon · RHP · 87.0 mph avg
ERA
5.76
WHIP
1.25
K%
18%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
86.7
87.4
Barrel%
6.9%
20.0%
Hard Hit%
24%
40%
xwOBA
.359
.424
xSLG
.543
.697
Whiff%
20%
26%
Chase%
33%
30%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Jameson Taillon.

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
86.7
Barrel%
6.9%
Hard Hit%
24%
Sweet Spot%
41%
xwOBA
0.359
xSLG
0.543

Recent Games

Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
40%
4/10 games
Last 20
42%
5/12 games
Last 30
42%
5/12 games
AVG
.156
OBP
.206
SLG
.313
OPS
.518
HR
1
RBI
3
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/31New York Yankees5113000
5/27Seattle Mariners3000110
5/24San Diego Padres4200120
5/19Los Angeles Angels5100010
5/17San Francisco Giants4100010
5/16San Francisco Giants1000000
5/13St. Louis Cardinals4000020
5/12St. Louis Cardinals1000000
5/10Baltimore Orioles1000010
5/6Philadelphia Phillies4000000

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Jonah Heim
Athletics · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
86.3 mph
Avg LA
15.9°
Hard-hit %
31%
Barrel %
16%
Outcomes (49 balls)
Home Run
2
Triple
0
Double
5
Single
6
Out
36
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.