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Odds updated 6:52 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

José Suarez

Athletics · Athletics vs Detroit Tigers · confirmed starter · Pitcher

ERA 1.59 · WHIP 0.88 · K 25% · 10 starts

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JOSÉ SUAREZ
Over K@ —
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K
no line
Win
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ER
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H
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José Suarez
JOSÉ
SUAREZ
Over K
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Slider33%82 mph
4-Seam32%93 mph
Changeup21%83 mph
Matchup
VS DET LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
84
Fantastic
VS
ERA
1.59
WHIP
0.88
K%
25%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
 PitcherMLB Avg
Whiff%32%25%
SwStr%14.9%11%
Chase%28%28%
xwOBA-a.303.315
Barrel%-a5%8%
HardHit%-a26%39%
Recent Form · Last 5
1.4
K/GM
1.6
IP/GM
0.00
ERA
0.63
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
25% season K rate
Contact Suppression
5% barrel · 26% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
Model Prob
Fair Odds
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 0.00 ERA · 26% K
4
2
3
1
2
4
Season
Home
Last 5
vs DET
Tonight's Park
HR
-10%
Hits
-2%
2B
-8%
3B
+42%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
83°
Wind
7 270°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+20%
K Adj
-4%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 6:54 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.