Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Kevin Alcántara
Chicago Cubs · Athletics vs Chicago Cubs
Tonight's Matchup
48
Matchup
Neutral matchup
vs Gage Jump · 91.5 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters · limited data
ERA
7.20
WHIP
2.00
K%
20%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
90.8
92.5
Barrel%
0.0%
5.6%
Hard Hit%
0%
39%
xwOBA
.471
.352
xSLG
.603
.485
Whiff%
40%
24%
Chase%
22%
40%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Gage Jump.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
90.8
Barrel%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
0%
Sweet Spot%
100%
xwOBA
0.471
xSLG
0.603
Recent Games
Last 5
20%
1/5 games
Last 10
10%
1/10 games
Last 20
17%
2/12 games
Last 30
17%
2/12 games
AVG
.111
OBP
.273
SLG
.111
OPS
.384
HR
0
RBI
0
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | St. Louis Cardinals | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Houston Astros | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Houston Astros | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9/20 | Cincinnati Reds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9/17 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9/14 | Tampa Bay Rays | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9/7 | Washington Nationals | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Kevin Alcántara
Chicago Cubs · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
90.8 mph
Avg LA
21.0°
Hard-hit %
0%
Barrel %
0%
Outcomes (2 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
0Double
0Single
1Out
1Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Advanced Statcast
Data Period: 5/23/2026 - 5/31/2026
Games: 5
Statcast Performance Profile
Advanced metrics from Statcast data (last 10 days)
Overall Grade
B-Performance Score
60Exit Velo
90.8 mph
Average exit velocity off the bat
Hard Hit%
0.0%
Percentage of balls hit 95+ mph
Chase%
22.2%
Percentage of swings at pitches outside the zone
xwOBA
0.471
Expected weighted on-base average
Sweet Spot%
100.0%
Percentage of balls hit at ideal launch angle
Performance Insights
Strengths: xwOBA, Sweet Spot%
Areas for Improvement: Hard Hit%
How to Read This Chart
Excellent (75-100)
Good (60-74)
Average (45-59)
Below Average (0-44)
The larger the shape, the better the overall performance. Each point represents a different advanced metric.
Additional Metrics
Max Exit Velo
93.1 mph
Launch Angle
21.0°
xBA
0.491
xSLG
0.603
Batted Ball Profile
Ground Ball%
N/A
Fly Ball%
50.0%
Line Drive%
50.0%
Pop Up%
N/A
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.