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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Kyle Higashioka

Texas Rangers · Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers · in lineup

MG Score
28
F

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
84.6
Barrel%
7.1%
Hard Hit%
29%
Sweet Spot%
32%
xwOBA
0.298
xSLG
0.416

Recent Games

Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
40%
4/10 games
Last 20
45%
9/20 games
Last 30
48%
13/27 games
AVG
.172
OBP
.226
SLG
.379
OPS
.605
HR
2
RBI
4
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/28Houston Astros3000120
5/26Houston Astros2000000
5/24Los Angeles Angels2000010
5/23Los Angeles Angels3111120
5/20Colorado Rockies4100000
5/18Colorado Rockies1000000
5/17Houston Astros4213010
5/15Houston Astros3000000
5/12Arizona Diamondbacks4000020
5/11Arizona Diamondbacks3100000

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Kyle Higashioka
Texas Rangers · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
88.1 mph
Avg LA
13.4°
Hard-hit %
39%
Barrel %
12%
Outcomes (49 balls)
Home Run
2
Triple
0
Double
2
Single
12
Out
33
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Advanced Statcast

Data Period: 5/23/2026 - 5/28/2026
Games: 4

Statcast Performance Profile

Advanced metrics from Statcast data (last 10 days)

Overall Grade
F
Performance Score
34
Exit VeloHard Hit%Chase%xwOBASweet Spot%
Exit Velo
89.2 mph

Average exit velocity off the bat

Hard Hit%
40.0%

Percentage of balls hit 95+ mph

Chase%
21.9%

Percentage of swings at pitches outside the zone

xwOBA
0.314

Expected weighted on-base average

Sweet Spot%
20.0%

Percentage of balls hit at ideal launch angle

Performance Insights

Strengths: No standout metrics

Areas for Improvement: Sweet Spot%, xwOBA

How to Read This Chart
Excellent (75-100)
Good (60-74)
Average (45-59)
Below Average (0-44)

The larger the shape, the better the overall performance. Each point represents a different advanced metric.

Additional Metrics

Max Exit Velo
102.1 mph
Launch Angle
-4.6°
xBA
0.202
xSLG
0.556

Batted Ball Profile

Ground Ball%
80.0%
Fly Ball%
20.0%
Line Drive%
N/A
Pop Up%
N/A

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.