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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Kyle Manzardo

Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees

MG Score
60
C+

Tonight's Matchup

vs Cam Schlittler · RHP · 94.9 mph avg
ERA
1.34
WHIP
0.89
K%
27%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
90.3
89.2
Barrel%
22.0%
12.5%
Hard Hit%
59%
38%
xwOBA
.542
.307
xSLG
.838
.418
Whiff%
27%
17%
Chase%
32%
31%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Cam Schlittler.

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
90.3
Barrel%
22.0%
Hard Hit%
59%
Sweet Spot%
44%
xwOBA
0.542
xSLG
0.838

Recent Games

Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
55%
11/20 games
Last 30
53%
16/30 games
AVG
.207
OBP
.303
SLG
.310
OPS
.613
HR
1
RBI
1
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/31Boston Red Sox3000020
5/30Boston Red Sox3000020
5/29Boston Red Sox4200010
5/27Washington Nationals3100110
5/26Washington Nationals4100030
5/25Washington Nationals2000210
5/23Philadelphia Phillies4000030
5/22Philadelphia Phillies1111000
5/20Detroit Tigers2000020
5/19Detroit Tigers3100120

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Kyle Manzardo
Cleveland Guardians · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
88.7 mph
Avg LA
16.2°
Hard-hit %
41%
Barrel %
15%
Outcomes (82 balls)
Home Run
4
Triple
1
Double
4
Single
18
Out
55
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.