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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Marcell Ozuna

Pittsburgh Pirates · Minnesota Twins vs Pittsburgh Pirates

MG Score
66
B-

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
92.6
Barrel%
15.2%
Hard Hit%
46%
Sweet Spot%
43%
xwOBA
0.435
xSLG
0.665

Recent Games

Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
60%
12/20 games
Last 30
60%
12/20 games
AVG
.171
OBP
.256
SLG
.286
OPS
.542
HR
1
RBI
7
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/27Chicago Cubs4100010
5/26Chicago Cubs5101020
5/25Chicago Cubs4000030
5/23Toronto Blue Jays4102020
5/22Toronto Blue Jays0000000
5/21St. Louis Cardinals4202000
5/19St. Louis Cardinals3000220
5/16Philadelphia Phillies4000040
5/15Philadelphia Phillies4112120
5/14Colorado Rockies3000110

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Marcell Ozuna
Pittsburgh Pirates · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
89.5 mph
Avg LA
22.8°
Hard-hit %
41%
Barrel %
18%
Outcomes (98 balls)
Home Run
5
Triple
0
Double
4
Single
19
Out
70
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.