Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Matt Chapman
San Francisco Giants · San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers
MG Score
48
D
Tonight's Matchup
vs Kyle Harrison · LHP
ERA
0.96
WHIP
1.00
K%
28%
Velo
90.3
Whiff%
21%
xwOBA-a
.320
First career meeting vs Kyle Harrison.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
87.4
Barrel%
10.7%
Hard Hit%
33%
Sweet Spot%
25%
xwOBA
0.286
xSLG
0.410
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
70%
7/10 games
Last 20
60%
12/20 games
Last 30
62%
13/21 games
AVG
.278
OBP
.381
SLG
.472
OPS
.853
HR
1
RBI
5
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Milwaukee Brewers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Colorado Rockies | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Colorado Rockies | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Colorado Rockies | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Chicago White Sox | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Chicago White Sox | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Chicago White Sox | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Matt Chapman
San Francisco Giants · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
87.9 mph
Avg LA
11.8°
Hard-hit %
35%
Barrel %
12%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
1Triple
0Double
10Single
21Out
68Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.