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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Max Schuemann

New York Yankees · Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees

Tonight's Matchup

58
Matchup
Neutral matchup
vs Joey Cantillo · LHP · 84.0 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters · limited data
ERA
3.20
WHIP
1.30
K%
16%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
87.7
87.0
Barrel%
0.0%
14.3%
Hard Hit%
55%
29%
xwOBA
.305
.533
xSLG
.391
.857
Whiff%
27%
8%
Chase%
15%
23%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Joey Cantillo.

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
87.7
Barrel%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
55%
Sweet Spot%
36%
xwOBA
0.305
xSLG
0.391

Recent Games

Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
40%
8/20 games
Last 30
33%
10/30 games
AVG
.313
OBP
.500
SLG
.500
OPS
1.000
HR
0
RBI
3
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/31Athletics3102110
5/26Kansas City Royals0000100
5/25Kansas City Royals0000000
5/24Tampa Bay Rays0000000
5/18Toronto Blue Jays2100202
5/17New York Mets1000110
5/12Baltimore Orioles3100110
5/11Baltimore Orioles3100010
5/9Milwaukee Brewers0000000
5/7Texas Rangers4101010

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Max Schuemann
New York Yankees · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
86.7 mph
Avg LA
19.8°
Hard-hit %
44%
Barrel %
11%
Outcomes (9 balls)
Home Run
0
Triple
0
Double
3
Single
1
Out
5
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.