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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Mitch Garver

Seattle Mariners · New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners · in lineup

MG Score
43
D

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
90.7
Barrel%
9.1%
Hard Hit%
55%
Sweet Spot%
32%
xwOBA
0.345
xSLG
0.508

Recent Games

Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
40%
4/10 games
Last 20
35%
7/20 games
Last 30
39%
9/23 games
AVG
.250
OBP
.357
SLG
.542
OPS
.899
HR
2
RBI
5
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/30Arizona Diamondbacks3000010
5/29Arizona Diamondbacks0000000
5/26Athletics4201000
5/24Kansas City Royals3100110
5/22Kansas City Royals4212010
5/19Chicago White Sox2000110
5/17San Diego Padres4000030
5/15San Diego Padres1000010
5/14Houston Astros3112100
5/13Houston Astros0000100

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Mitch Garver
Seattle Mariners · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
91.3 mph
Avg LA
16.4°
Hard-hit %
58%
Barrel %
11%
Outcomes (38 balls)
Home Run
1
Triple
0
Double
1
Single
8
Out
28
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.