Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Nick Kurtz
Athletics · Athletics vs Chicago Cubs
MG Score
75
B
Tonight's Matchup
95
Matchup
Smash spot
vs Jameson Taillon · RHP · 87.0 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
5.76
WHIP
1.25
K%
18%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
91.3
87.4
Barrel%
28.1%
20.0%
Hard Hit%
55%
40%
xwOBA
.473
.424
xSLG
.720
.697
Whiff%
32%
26%
Chase%
21%
30%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Jameson Taillon.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
91.3
Barrel%
28.1%
Hard Hit%
55%
Sweet Spot%
38%
xwOBA
0.473
xSLG
0.720
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
70%
7/10 games
Last 20
74%
14/19 games
Last 30
74%
14/19 games
AVG
.343
OBP
.465
SLG
.571
OPS
1.037
HR
2
RBI
6
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | New York Yankees | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | New York Yankees | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | New York Yankees | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Seattle Mariners | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Seattle Mariners | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Seattle Mariners | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | San Diego Padres | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/23 | San Diego Padres | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | San Diego Padres | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/21 | Los Angeles Angels | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Nick Kurtz
Athletics · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
95.2 mph
Avg LA
13.2°
Hard-hit %
62%
Barrel %
30%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
8Triple
1Double
9Single
27Out
55Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.