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Odds updated 11:24 AM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Ryan Rolison

Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs vs San Francisco Giants · Pitcher

Mongoose Bets
RYAN ROLISON
Over K@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line
Ryan Rolison
RYAN
ROLISON
Over K
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam44%95 mph
Curveball18%80 mph
Slider18%87 mph
Sweeper15%86 mph
Matchup
VS SF LINEUP
LIMITED DATA — ROOKIE/CALL-UP
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
50
Average
projected lineup
VS
ERA
WHIP
K%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
 PitcherMLB Avg
Whiff%20%25%
SwStr%9.0%11%
Chase%26%28%
xwOBA-a.386.315
Barrel%-a12%8%
HardHit%-a50%39%
Recent Form · Last 5
K/GM
IP/GM
ERA
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
Strikeout data pending
Contact Suppression
12% barrel · 50% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
Model Prob
Fair Odds
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 0 starts
No recent starts
Season
Home
Last 5
vs SF
Tonight's Park
HR
-20%
Hits
+1%
2B
+3%
3B
+33%
K
-3%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
60°
Wind
9 268°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+4%
K Adj
-1%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 11:27 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.