Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Starling Marte
Kansas City Royals · Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds
MG Score
68
B-
Tonight's Matchup
80
Matchup
Strong matchup
vs Andrew Abbott · LHP · 88.2 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
1.48
WHIP
1.05
K%
16%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
90.1
93.9
Barrel%
6.3%
21.1%
Hard Hit%
38%
53%
xwOBA
.299
.516
xSLG
.370
.834
Whiff%
27%
19%
Chase%
25%
30%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Andrew Abbott: 6 PA · Low sample
AB
5
AVG
.400
OPS
.900
HR
0
H
2
K
1
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
90.1
Barrel%
6.3%
Hard Hit%
38%
Sweet Spot%
31%
xwOBA
0.299
xSLG
0.370
Recent Games
Last 5
20%
1/5 games
Last 10
40%
4/10 games
Last 20
45%
9/20 games
Last 30
53%
16/30 games
AVG
.190
OBP
.292
SLG
.190
OPS
.482
HR
0
RBI
0
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Texas Rangers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Texas Rangers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | New York Yankees | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | New York Yankees | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Boston Red Sox | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/19 | Boston Red Sox | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/18 | Boston Red Sox | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/16 | St. Louis Cardinals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/14 | Chicago White Sox | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/13 | Chicago White Sox | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Starling Marte
Kansas City Royals · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
91.4 mph
Avg LA
7.7°
Hard-hit %
34%
Barrel %
17%
Outcomes (29 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
0Double
3Single
9Out
17Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.