Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Sterlin Thompson
Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Angels
MG Score
48
D
Tonight's Matchup
vs Grayson Rodriguez · RHP · 90.3 mph avg
ERA
6.11
WHIP
1.36
K%
22%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
87.4
93.5
Barrel%
8.0%
8.3%
Hard Hit%
40%
67%
xwOBA
.286
.264
xSLG
.379
.381
Whiff%
27%
20%
Chase%
26%
26%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Grayson Rodriguez.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
87.4
Barrel%
8.0%
Hard Hit%
40%
Sweet Spot%
28%
xwOBA
0.286
xSLG
0.379
Recent Games
Last 5
20%
1/5 games
Last 10
40%
4/10 games
Last 20
38%
5/13 games
Last 30
38%
5/13 games
AVG
.217
OBP
.308
SLG
.304
OPS
.612
HR
0
RBI
4
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Los Angeles Angels | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/31 | San Francisco Giants | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | San Francisco Giants | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | San Francisco Giants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Sterlin Thompson
Colorado Rockies · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
87.4 mph
Avg LA
4.2°
Hard-hit %
40%
Barrel %
20%
Outcomes (10 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
0Double
1Single
2Out
7Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.

