Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
TREI CRUZ
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
TREI
CRUZ
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Joe Rock · LHP
90.3 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
22
VS
ERA
1.50
WHIP
1.83
K%
24%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 0.0 | 94.6 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 7% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 64% |
| xwOBA | .000 | .429 |
| xSLG | .000 | .597 |
| Whiff% | 43% | 17% |
| Chase% | 17% | 11% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
0.0 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Rock—
Tonight's Park
HR
-10%
Hits
-2%
2B
-8%
3B
+42%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
76°
Wind
13 272°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+17%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 12:02 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game