Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Tyler Freeman
Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Angels
MG Score
56
C
Tonight's Matchup
27
Matchup
Avoid
vs Grayson Rodriguez · RHP · 90.3 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
6.11
WHIP
1.36
K%
22%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
85.5
93.5
Barrel%
6.2%
8.3%
Hard Hit%
32%
67%
xwOBA
.310
.264
xSLG
.403
.381
Whiff%
9%
20%
Chase%
27%
26%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Grayson Rodriguez: 3 PA · Low sample
AB
3
AVG
.000
OPS
.000
HR
0
H
0
K
1
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
85.5
Barrel%
6.2%
Hard Hit%
32%
Sweet Spot%
38%
xwOBA
0.310
xSLG
0.403
Recent Games
Last 5
100%
5/5 games
Last 10
80%
8/10 games
Last 20
70%
14/20 games
Last 30
69%
20/29 games
AVG
.306
OBP
.375
SLG
.389
OPS
.764
HR
0
RBI
1
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Los Angeles Angels | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/31 | San Francisco Giants | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/30 | San Francisco Giants | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | San Francisco Giants | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Tyler Freeman
Colorado Rockies · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
83.0 mph
Avg LA
9.4°
Hard-hit %
33%
Barrel %
10%
Outcomes (89 balls)
Home Run
2Triple
0Double
3Single
21Out
63Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.