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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Tyler O'Neill

Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

MG Score
41
D

Tonight's Matchup

vs Connelly Early · LHP
ERA
3.00
WHIP
1.10
K%
24%
Velo
89.1
Whiff%
19%
xwOBA-a
.387
Career vs Connelly Early: 3 PA · Low sample
AB
3
AVG
.000
OPS
.000
HR
0
H
0
K
2

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
86.7
Barrel%
5.3%
Hard Hit%
34%
Sweet Spot%
29%
xwOBA
0.285
xSLG
0.424

Recent Games

Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
40%
4/10 games
Last 20
30%
6/20 games
Last 30
40%
12/30 games
AVG
.143
OBP
.143
SLG
.250
OPS
.393
HR
1
RBI
2
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/29Toronto Blue Jays0000000
5/28Toronto Blue Jays2000010
5/27Tampa Bay Rays2101010
5/25Tampa Bay Rays2100000
5/24Detroit Tigers3000010
5/22Detroit Tigers2000000
5/20Tampa Bay Rays4000000
5/18Tampa Bay Rays5000010
5/17Washington Nationals4100010
5/16Washington Nationals4111010

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Tyler O'Neill
Baltimore Orioles · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
88.5 mph
Avg LA
23.4°
Hard-hit %
43%
Barrel %
11%
Outcomes (54 balls)
Home Run
2
Triple
0
Double
1
Single
10
Out
41
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.