Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Wandy Peralta
San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals · confirmed starter · Pitcher

WANDY PERALTA
Over K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line

WANDY
PERALTA
Over K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Sinker39%97 mph
Changeup32%90 mph
Slider17%89 mph
4-Seam10%97 mph
Matchup
VS STL LINEUP
LIMITED DATA — ROOKIE/CALL-UP
VS
ERA
—
WHIP
—
K%
—
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 20% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 8.6% | 11% |
| Chase% | 20% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .327 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 14% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 38% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
—
K/GM
—
IP/GM
—
ERA
—
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
Strikeout data pending
Contact Suppression
14% barrel · 38% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 0 starts
No recent starts
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs STL—
Tonight's Park
HR
-11%
Hits
+3%
2B
+3%
3B
-6%
K
-9%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
78°
Wind
6 319°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+5%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 9:32 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
