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Odds updated 9:31 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Wandy Peralta

San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals · confirmed starter · Pitcher

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WANDY PERALTA
Over K@ —
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Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line
Wandy Peralta
WANDY
PERALTA
Over K
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Sinker39%97 mph
Changeup32%90 mph
Slider17%89 mph
4-Seam10%97 mph
Matchup
VS STL LINEUP
LIMITED DATA — ROOKIE/CALL-UP
VS
ERA
WHIP
K%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
 PitcherMLB Avg
Whiff%20%25%
SwStr%8.6%11%
Chase%20%28%
xwOBA-a.327.315
Barrel%-a14%8%
HardHit%-a38%39%
Recent Form · Last 5
K/GM
IP/GM
ERA
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
Strikeout data pending
Contact Suppression
14% barrel · 38% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
Model Prob
Fair Odds
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 0 starts
No recent starts
Season
Home
Last 5
vs STL
Tonight's Park
HR
-11%
Hits
+3%
2B
+3%
3B
-6%
K
-9%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
78°
Wind
6 319°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+5%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 9:32 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.