Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
WILL WAGNER
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
WILL
WAGNER
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Brady Singer · RHP
87.2 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
78
VS
ERA
6.35
WHIP
1.63
K%
21%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 90.8 | 92.0 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 20% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 42% |
| xwOBA | .518 | .486 |
| xSLG | .635 | .795 |
| Whiff% | 14% | 23% |
| Chase% | 13% | 23% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
90.8 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Singer—
Tonight's Park
HR
+5%
Hits
-3%
2B
-4%
3B
-45%
K
+1%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
76°
Wind
7 249°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 4:40 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game