Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Adam Frazier
Los Angeles Angels · Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Angels · in lineup
MG Score
42
D
Tonight's Park · Angel Stadium
Big HR parkHR
+13%
Hits
-2%
2B
-13%
3B
-3%
K
+5%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather · few clouds
Air boosting HRHR weather
+12%
Temp
77°
Wind
7 out
Rain
0%
HR/Temp/Wind colored for the hitter · Rain = game-delay risk
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
84.7
Barrel%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
17%
Sweet Spot%
42%
xwOBA
0.352
xSLG
0.456
Recent Games
Last 5
20%
1/5 games
Last 10
30%
3/10 games
Last 20
30%
6/20 games
Last 30
32%
9/28 games
AVG
.200
OBP
.294
SLG
.267
OPS
.561
HR
0
RBI
1
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Colorado Rockies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Tampa Bay Rays | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Detroit Tigers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Texas Rangers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/21 | Athletics | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Athletics | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/18 | Athletics | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/17 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/13 | Cleveland Guardians | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/9 | Toronto Blue Jays | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Adam Frazier
Los Angeles Angels · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
80.3 mph
Avg LA
13.0°
Hard-hit %
17%
Barrel %
4%
Outcomes (48 balls)
Home Run
1Triple
1Double
5Single
9Out
32Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Advanced Statcast
Data Period: 5/24/2026 - 6/1/2026
Games: 4
Statcast Performance Profile
Advanced metrics from Statcast data (last 10 days)
Overall Grade
C-Performance Score
48Exit Velo
87.4 mph
Average exit velocity off the bat
Hard Hit%
50.0%
Percentage of balls hit 95+ mph
Chase%
28.6%
Percentage of swings at pitches outside the zone
xwOBA
0.276
Expected weighted on-base average
Sweet Spot%
50.0%
Percentage of balls hit at ideal launch angle
Performance Insights
Strengths: Sweet Spot%, Hard Hit%
Areas for Improvement: xwOBA, Exit Velo
How to Read This Chart
Excellent (75-100)
Good (60-74)
Average (45-59)
Below Average (0-44)
The larger the shape, the better the overall performance. Each point represents a different advanced metric.
Additional Metrics
Max Exit Velo
96.9 mph
Launch Angle
14.0°
xBA
0.176
xSLG
0.487
Batted Ball Profile
Ground Ball%
50.0%
Fly Ball%
50.0%
Line Drive%
N/A
Pop Up%
N/A
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.