Start with the edge chips — they mark where the sim's win or total probability disagrees with the book's price. Click any card for the run distribution behind that number.

What to Watch Tonight

the slate through the model's eyes2,500 SIMS / GAME

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Mongoose Bets — Sports Betting Analytics & Betting Intelligence

Mongoose Bets runs 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per MLB game to expose where sportsbook lines disagree with the model. We don't sell picks — we show the math behind every edge.

Today's MLB game predictions, player-prop projections, NRFI picks, home run odds, batter-vs-pitcher matchups, bullpen fatigue, ballpark factors, and umpire tendencies — all derived from the same simulation, updated every morning.

Beyond baseball: NFL weekly game simulations, player props and DFS; college football model-vs-market on every FBS game with team ratings; WNBA game and prop simulations; and PGA Tour outrights, head-to-heads and make-cut probability.

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Today's MLB Games - Predictions & Analytics | Mongoose Bets

What to Watch Tonight

Today's Games