Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Adley Rutschman
Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox
MG Score
74
B
Tonight's Matchup
vs Connelly Early · LHP
ERA
3.00
WHIP
1.10
K%
24%
Velo
89.1
Whiff%
19%
xwOBA-a
.387
Career vs Connelly Early: 3 PA · Low sample
AB
3
AVG
.333
OPS
.667
HR
0
H
1
K
0
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
90.2
Barrel%
14.9%
Hard Hit%
46%
Sweet Spot%
42%
xwOBA
0.446
xSLG
0.640
Recent Games
Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
40%
4/10 games
Last 20
50%
10/20 games
Last 30
52%
12/23 games
AVG
.189
OBP
.348
SLG
.270
OPS
.618
HR
0
RBI
3
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Toronto Blue Jays | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Toronto Blue Jays | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Toronto Blue Jays | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Tampa Bay Rays | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Tampa Bay Rays | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Detroit Tigers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Detroit Tigers | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Tampa Bay Rays | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/19 | Tampa Bay Rays | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Adley Rutschman
Baltimore Orioles · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
89.1 mph
Avg LA
16.2°
Hard-hit %
44%
Barrel %
13%
Outcomes (99 balls)
Home Run
6Triple
0Double
6Single
15Out
72Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.