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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Adrian Del Castillo

Arizona Diamondbacks · Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks

MG Score
48
D

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
89.4
Barrel%
10.3%
Hard Hit%
44%
Sweet Spot%
36%
xwOBA
0.321
xSLG
0.479

Recent Games

Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
35%
7/20 games
Last 30
38%
8/21 games
AVG
.214
OBP
.313
SLG
.321
OPS
.634
HR
1
RBI
4
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/31Seattle Mariners1000010
5/30Seattle Mariners3100010
5/29Seattle Mariners2000110
5/27San Francisco Giants4101010
5/26San Francisco Giants3111000
5/25San Francisco Giants2101100
5/22Colorado Rockies4000000
5/21Colorado Rockies1000210
5/20San Francisco Giants4000020
5/19San Francisco Giants4201010

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Adrian Del Castillo
Arizona Diamondbacks · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
88.6 mph
Avg LA
15.1°
Hard-hit %
41%
Barrel %
20%
Outcomes (59 balls)
Home Run
3
Triple
0
Double
4
Single
11
Out
41
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.