Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
A.J. EWING
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
A.J.
EWING
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
59
Grade C
Matchup
VS Freddy Peralta · RHP
89.0 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
61
VS
ERA
6.16
WHIP
1.49
K%
20%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 86.5 | 86.9 |
| Barrel% | 11% | 10% |
| Hard Hit% | 40% | 38% |
| xwOBA | .373 | .376 |
| xSLG | .527 | .581 |
| Whiff% | 22% | 22% |
| Chase% | 23% | 37% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
86.5 avg EV · 11.0% barrel · 40% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather neutral
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Peralta—
Tonight's Park
HR
-3%
Hits
-3%
2B
-11%
3B
+31%
K
+3%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 9:08 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game