Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced MLB Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 2:01 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

A.J. Ewing

New York Mets · New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners

MG Score
56
C

Tonight's Matchup

62
Matchup
Neutral matchup
vs Logan Gilbert · RHP · 89.6 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
2.94
WHIP
0.80
K%
26%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
86.4
94.4
Barrel%
9.3%
18.8%
Hard Hit%
47%
50%
xwOBA
.429
.394
xSLG
.611
.533
Whiff%
23%
21%
Chase%
28%
19%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Logan Gilbert.

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
86.4
Barrel%
9.3%
Hard Hit%
47%
Sweet Spot%
37%
xwOBA
0.429
xSLG
0.611

Recent Games

Last 5
20%
1/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
55%
11/20 games
Last 30
55%
11/20 games
AVG
.184
OBP
.205
SLG
.184
OPS
.389
HR
0
RBI
2
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
6/1Seattle Mariners4000020
5/31Miami Marlins3000130
5/30Miami Marlins4000000
5/29Miami Marlins4202011
5/27Cincinnati Reds4000020
5/26Cincinnati Reds4100010
5/25Cincinnati Reds4100010
5/24Miami Marlins4200011
5/23Miami Marlins4000030
5/22Miami Marlins3100010

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
A.J. Ewing
New York Mets · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
85.3 mph
Avg LA
6.9°
Hard-hit %
50%
Barrel %
14%
Outcomes (22 balls)
Home Run
1
Triple
1
Double
0
Single
6
Out
14
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.