ALAN RANGEL

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

ALAN

RANGEL

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Changeup40%81 mph

4-Seam35%93 mph

Matchup

VS NYM LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

47

Average

projected lineup

VS

ERA

1.80

WHIP

1.00

K%

19%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	19%	25%
SwStr%	11.1%	11%
Chase%	41%	28%
xwOBA-a	.304	.315
Barrel%-a	19%	8%
HardHit%-a	25%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

4.0

K/GM

5.0

IP/GM

1.80

ERA

1.00

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

19% season K rate

Contact Suppression

19% barrel · 25% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Neutral park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 1 starts

0 of 1 starts over

Last 5: 1.80 ERA · 19% K

4

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs NYM—

Tonight's Park

HR

+3%

Hits

-9%

2B

-11%

3B

-25%

K

+4%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

75°

Wind

9 203°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+12%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 10:36 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.