Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Alec Burleson
St. Louis Cardinals · Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals
MG Score
58
C
Tonight's Matchup
vs Nathan Eovaldi · RHP · 87.2 mph avg
ERA
2.25
WHIP
0.78
K%
26%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
90.5
86.9
Barrel%
10.3%
15.8%
Hard Hit%
46%
32%
xwOBA
.389
.421
xSLG
.547
.685
Whiff%
22%
27%
Chase%
39%
27%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Nathan Eovaldi: 3 PA · Low sample
AB
3
AVG
.000
OPS
.000
HR
0
H
0
K
0
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
90.5
Barrel%
10.3%
Hard Hit%
46%
Sweet Spot%
37%
xwOBA
0.389
xSLG
0.547
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
70%
7/10 games
Last 20
75%
15/20 games
Last 30
77%
17/22 games
AVG
.243
OBP
.300
SLG
.297
OPS
.597
HR
0
RBI
3
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Texas Rangers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Chicago Cubs | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Chicago Cubs | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Chicago Cubs | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Milwaukee Brewers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Milwaukee Brewers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Milwaukee Brewers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Cincinnati Reds | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/21 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Alec Burleson
St. Louis Cardinals · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
90.2 mph
Avg LA
9.7°
Hard-hit %
47%
Barrel %
16%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
4Triple
0Double
9Single
23Out
64Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.