ALEC GAMBOA

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

ALEC

GAMBOA

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam46%96 mph

Slider33%89 mph

Sinker16%95 mph

Matchup

VS ARI LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

96

Fantastic

projected lineup

VS

ERA

1.59

WHIP

1.12

K%

18%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	15%	25%
SwStr%	9.0%	11%
Chase%	36%	28%
xwOBA-a	.207	.315
Barrel%-a	4%	8%
HardHit%-a	25%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

1.6

K/GM

2.4

IP/GM

0.75

ERA

1.00

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

18% season K rate

Contact Suppression

4% barrel · 25% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-suppressing park · air suppressing HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 9 starts

0 of 9 starts over

Last 5: 0.75 ERA · 17% K

2

1

1

1

1

6

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs ARI—

Tonight's Park

HR

-9%

Hits

+8%

2B

+24%

3B

-6%

K

-1%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

74°

Wind

5 99°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

-5%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 6:34 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.