Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Alex Bregman
Chicago Cubs · Athletics vs Chicago Cubs
MG Score
51
C-
Tonight's Matchup
48
Matchup
Neutral matchup
vs Gage Jump · 91.5 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
7.20
WHIP
2.00
K%
20%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
86.5
92.5
Barrel%
9.5%
5.6%
Hard Hit%
37%
39%
xwOBA
.361
.352
xSLG
.489
.485
Whiff%
19%
24%
Chase%
26%
40%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Gage Jump.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
86.5
Barrel%
9.5%
Hard Hit%
37%
Sweet Spot%
42%
xwOBA
0.361
xSLG
0.489
Recent Games
Last 5
100%
5/5 games
Last 10
100%
10/10 games
Last 20
90%
18/20 games
Last 30
86%
19/22 games
AVG
.310
OBP
.341
SLG
.429
OPS
.769
HR
1
RBI
2
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | St. Louis Cardinals | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | St. Louis Cardinals | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | St. Louis Cardinals | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Houston Astros | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Houston Astros | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Houston Astros | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Alex Bregman
Chicago Cubs · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
88.1 mph
Avg LA
13.2°
Hard-hit %
44%
Barrel %
18%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
3Triple
1Double
5Single
23Out
68Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.