Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Andrew Sears
Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians · Pitcher
ERA 6.75 · WHIP 1.35 · K 14% · 2 starts

ANDREW SEARS
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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ANDREW
SEARS
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam46%94 mph
Slider34%82 mph
Matchup
VS CLE LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
66
projected lineup
VS
ERA
6.75
WHIP
1.35
K%
14%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 27% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 12.9% | 11% |
| Chase% | 33% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .351 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 13% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 30% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
2.0
K/GM
3.3
IP/GM
6.75
ERA
1.35
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
14% season K rate
Contact Suppression
13% barrel · 30% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park
Mongoose Model Projection
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Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 2 starts
0 of 2 starts over
Last 5: 6.75 ERA · 14% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs CLE—
Tonight's Park
HR
-17%
Hits
-2%
2B
+14%
3B
-25%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
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Wind
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Rain
—
HR Adj
—
K Adj
—
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 12:16 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
