Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
ANDY PAGES
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
ANDY
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Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Robbie Ray · LHP
88.4 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
59
VS
ERA
4.18
WHIP
1.37
K%
19%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 79.8 | 89.5 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 10% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 37% |
| xwOBA | .575 | .391 |
| xSLG | .674 | .580 |
| Whiff% | 25% | 25% |
| Chase% | 18% | 25% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
79.8 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather neutral
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Ray0
Tonight's Park
HR
+23%
Hits
-3%
2B
-5%
3B
-39%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
79°
Wind
3 155°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 10:18 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game