Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Anthony Molina
San Francisco Giants · Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants · Pitcher
ERA 2.89 · WHIP 0.96 · K 9% · 4 starts
ANTHONY MOLINA
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
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H
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ANTHONY
MOLINA
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam56%96 mph
Matchup
VS ARI LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
69
projected lineup
VS
ERA
2.89
WHIP
0.96
K%
9%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 17% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 9.6% | 11% |
| Chase% | 27% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .348 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 17% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 33% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
0.8
K/GM
2.3
IP/GM
2.89
ERA
0.96
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
9% season K rate
Contact Suppression
17% barrel · 33% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 4 starts
0 of 4 starts over
Last 5: 2.89 ERA · 9% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs ARI—
Tonight's Park
HR
-20%
Hits
+1%
2B
+3%
3B
+33%
K
-3%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
67°
Wind
8 264°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+8%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 9:41 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.