Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
ANTHONY SEIGLER
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
ANTHONY
SEIGLER
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
57
Grade C
Matchup
VS Kyle Bradish · RHP
91.0 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
23
VS
ERA
3.13
WHIP
1.21
K%
22%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 87.3 | 86.0 |
| Barrel% | 9% | 4% |
| Hard Hit% | 39% | 30% |
| xwOBA | .336 | .282 |
| xSLG | .480 | .375 |
| Whiff% | 18% | 22% |
| Chase% | 27% | 29% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
87.3 avg EV · 8.6% barrel · 39% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Bradish—
Tonight's Park
HR
-9%
Hits
+8%
2B
+24%
3B
-6%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
76°
Wind
10 163°
Rain
100%
HR Adj
-0%
K Adj
-3%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 2:11 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game