Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
ANTHONY VOLPE
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
ANTHONY
VOLPE
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Nolan McLean · RHP
91.3 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
63
VS
ERA
1.94
WHIP
1.19
K%
24%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 90.9 | 87.0 |
| Barrel% | 25% | 8% |
| Hard Hit% | 50% | 35% |
| xwOBA | .515 | .278 |
| xSLG | .735 | .330 |
| Whiff% | 11% | 19% |
| Chase% | 27% | 26% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
90.9 avg EV · 25.0% barrel · 50% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs McLean—
Tonight's Park
HR
+25%
Hits
-6%
2B
-8%
3B
-52%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
74°
Wind
8 354°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 9:03 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game