Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
AUSTIN MARTIN
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
AUSTIN
MARTIN
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Parker Messick · LHP
91.3 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
20
VS
ERA
2.07
WHIP
0.95
K%
27%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 82.8 | 87.3 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 7% |
| Hard Hit% | 33% | 32% |
| xwOBA | .253 | .349 |
| xSLG | .318 | .491 |
| Whiff% | 14% | 26% |
| Chase% | 30% | 30% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
82.8 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 33% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Messick0
Tonight's Park
HR
+7%
Hits
+1%
2B
+10%
3B
+10%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
81°
Wind
15 186°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+6%
K Adj
-0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 9:05 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game