Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
BEN RORTVEDT
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
BEN
RORTVEDT
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Shota Imanaga · LHP
86.2 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
23
VS
ERA
2.81
WHIP
1.08
K%
22%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 89.1 | 88.2 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 12% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 24% |
| xwOBA | .106 | .486 |
| xSLG | .124 | .755 |
| Whiff% | 0% | 30% |
| Chase% | 0% | 31% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
89.1 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Imanaga—
Tonight's Park
HR
-8%
Hits
-3%
2B
-15%
3B
+16%
K
+3%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
79°
Wind
3 256°
Rain
94%
HR Adj
-9%
K Adj
-5%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 11:32 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game