Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

MLB / Research
Mongoose Bets
BEN ROSS
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Ben Ross
BEN
ROSS
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Exit Velo21.0Barrel%0%Hard Hit%0%xwOBA.131Sweet Spot%0%Whiff%50%Chase%38%
Matchup
VS Carlos Rodón · LHP
90.7 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
5
Terrible
VS
ERA
2.96
WHIP
1.09
K%
27%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo21.090.9
Barrel%0%12%
Hard Hit%0%45%
xwOBA.131.378
xSLG.146.547
Whiff%50%25%
Chase%38%29%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
21.0 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  — AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Rodón—
Tonight's Park
HR
+7%
Hits
+1%
2B
+10%
3B
+10%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
69°
Wind
6 133°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-14%
K Adj
+2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 3:06 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game