BENNETT SOUSA

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

BENNETT

SOUSA

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Slider73%86 mph

4-Seam17%93 mph

Matchup

VS NYM LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

38

Bad

projected lineup

VS

ERA

9.64

WHIP

2.25

K%

25%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	32%	25%
SwStr%	16.1%	11%
Chase%	35%	28%
xwOBA-a	.318	.315
Barrel%-a	11%	8%
HardHit%-a	33%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

1.0

K/GM

0.9

IP/GM

13.50

ERA

2.57

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

25% season K rate

Contact Suppression

11% barrel · 33% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Neutral park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 13.50 ERA · 19% K

1

3

2

1

1

3

1

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs NYM—

Tonight's Park

HR

+3%

Hits

-9%

2B

-11%

3B

-25%

K

+4%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

80°

Wind

4 237°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+8%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 9:41 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.