Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Blade Tidwell
San Francisco Giants · Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 4.81 · WHIP 1.25 · K 19% · 11 starts
BLADE TIDWELL
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
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ER
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H
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BLADE
TIDWELL
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam34%95 mph
Sweeper27%82 mph
Sinker22%93 mph
Slider8%88 mph
Curveball6%83 mph
Matchup
VS MIN LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
4.81
WHIP
1.25
K%
19%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 16% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 6.7% | 11% |
| Chase% | 22% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .368 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 16% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 35% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
3.8
K/GM
4.8
IP/GM
5.63
ERA
1.21
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
19% season K rate
Contact Suppression
16% barrel · 35% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 5.63 ERA · 18% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs MIN—
Tonight's Park
HR
-20%
Hits
+1%
2B
+3%
3B
+33%
K
-3%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
69°
Wind
8 263°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+7%
K Adj
+3%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 9:15 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.